California Greening
January 19, 2004

By David Pierotti

The federal government has decreased support for alternative energy technologies, but many states including California are moving ahead with their own programs to encourage alternate energy sources.

It's well known that California tends to start trends that eventually spread across the country. From cosmetic surgery to fruit smoothies, whatever the latest fad is, it probably started in California. One trend that didn't catch on as well was solar power. During the 1970s, when skyrocketing oil prices made 'going green' fashionable and economical, California was at the forefront. But the cheap oil of the 80s and twelve years of presidential administrations hostile to alternative energy made things tough for the emerging green industry. The "Go Solar" bumper stickers faded and frayed, and became as hip as an 8-track player.

The current executive administration has even less regard for alternative energy, but many states including California are moving ahead with their own programs to encourage a new wave of alternate energy sources. These generally focus on tax rebates for a wide variety of technologies and conservation methods. However, many of these incentives have been in place for years without the kind of widespread acceptance that spurs major investment. This can be expected to continue in the current economic climate, which means green power will remain a minor factor in the California economy. This is a common reevaluation from a couple of years ago when deregulation and a booming economy had many thinking green power had finally arrived.

Deregulation was a mixed blessing for the green industry in California. It began successfully as customers switched over, slowly but steadily fulfilling the promise of market choice for utilities. After a year of furious competition, only six energy service providers remained standing; all six offered green power. Customers discovered the wonders of net metering; that is, a house with solar panels generating excess power could send this back into the grid causing their meter to run backwards. But the energy crisis devastated this momentum. In what seems to be a very expensive panic attack, Governor Davis signed $43 billion in closed-door power deals to eliminate the rolling blackouts afflicting the state. Out of these massive contracts, lasting through 2010, only 1.2% is from renewables. This was an incredible opportunity not only for California to lead the nation into a cleaner century but also to stimulate the potentially important economic sector of green power.

Present setbacks aside, green power continues to make inroads. In June, Pasadena Water & Power began a new program to allow all of its customers the option to purchase electricity generated from PacifiCorp Power Marketing's new High Winds project in Solano County. PacifiCorp boasts over 22,000 customers for its renewable energy program, which placed it third in customer participation in the Department of Energy's ranking of green energy providers.

Another success story is 3 Phases Energy. With offices in San Francisco, Manhattan Beach and Venice, 3Phases is an alternative energy companies that entered the market through deregulation and managed to weather the storm of the energy crisis to emerge stronger, wiser and better positioned for future growth. They recently signed an agreement to supply 4.4 million kilowatt hours per year to Sacramento-based companies.

An affordable housing complex at Colorado Court in Santa Monica is an exciting example of what may become the green industry's most promising application. This may seem an unlikely place for cutting edge technologies and design, but it illustrates the powerful economic incentives that bode well for the future of the environment sector. Besides the state of the art heating and cooling systems, which rely on natural ventilation instead of air conditioners, the facility is equipped with eye-catching deep blue solar panels on the side of the building. The net result of all this green technology is an estimated savings of $10,000 a year. The success and popularity of the building has prompted a steady stream of students, architects and developers to tour the facility. With this level of interest, and the Community Corporation already planning to adapt their other buildings to a green design, prospects look bright for the architecture firm of Pugh, Scarpa, Kodama and all the other California companies that contributed to Colorado Court's success.

In fact, many are optimistic about green technology's economic future. Clean Edge, a San Francisco-based research and consulting firm for the green sector, predicts the clean energy market will grow from $7 billion in 2001 to $89 billion by 2012. Venture capitalists are taking notice by increasing the percentage of clean energy VC activity from .07% to 2.3% of total VC investment in just three years. And while the current administration has shown little interest in establishing a Renewable Portfolio Standard, (RPS), other nations and even many states are slowly mandating minimum standards for their energy requirements. For instance, the European Union is aiming for 20% renewable energy use by 2010, which presents a tremendous growth opportunity for the green sector.

Although California's energy crisis certainly delivered a harsh blow to the state's emerging green power industry, signs point to its long-term success. All things being equal, people tend to choose clean electricity over pollution-intensive sources. As costs decline and availability rises, the demand for alternative power will certainly increase. In addition, green architecture and development is gaining more attention as businesses realize the economic benefits and marketing opportunities of conservation. The wild card is governmental cooperation. Green industry requires the commitment of elected leaders at the local, state and federal level. So far, that support is capricious at best and obstructionist at worst. When you consider that coal and nuclear power are still receiving massive federal subsidies, it's not hard to see the difficulties green power faces. But with rising energy costs and ever-increasing environmental awareness, that "Go Solar" bumper sticker may again have its day in the sun.

Read Green Technology: Froth or Foundation? from the June 2, 2003 issue of Larta VOX.

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