Sand Dollar Report 2002 Executive Summary

by Victor Hwang and Rohit Shukla

In 2001, venture investments nationwide declined significantly, in keeping with the weakness in market demand, worsening business conditions, decline in technology stock values, and the failure of Internet-oriented business models. Consistent with the national picture, the Greater Los Angeles Metropolitan region (or "Southern California," as we call it in this report) also witnessed a rapid decline of venture investments, as we predicted in last year's Sand Dollar Report. From 2000 to 2001, there was a 54% drop in the number of investments and a 73% drop in the dollars invested. Despite this, however, the venture industry of Southern California has emerged with newfound strengths that may serve the region's technology industry well.

Larta's Sand Dollar Report 2002 finds that widely mentioned indications of the relative economic strength of the region are borne out by the facts. The broader view of the seven-year economic cycle from 1995 to 2001 points to a stronger fundamental position at the end point of that cycle than at its beginning-an increase of 284% in venture capital dollars and 118% in the number of investments.

Eight years after the initial Larta report on venture capital (1994), the venture capital industry of Southern California has undergone a considerable transformation, reflecting the sea change in the regional economy itself. Southern California is one of the most diverse economies in the country, and, not surprisingly, has the most diverse venture capital investments of any comparable region in the country. And while venture investors in the region have been on a recent roller coaster of rapid growth and even more rapid decline, many remain optimistic, yet realistic, about the opportunities ahead. Perhaps more importantly, the community of investors in the region now appears to be better networked (both internally and externally), more mature, and more aware of and attuned to the region's fundamental sources of innovation.

Southern California's venture industry, however, still faces challenges. Despite the clustering of technology firms that has emerged, active venture investing in the region is significant. The region's technology clusters are spread throughout: the Ventura Freeway Corridor, Santa Monica and the West Side, Orange County, Pasadena and the San Gabriel Valley, and the South Bay, to name just some of the major clusters. In addition, the Greater Los Angeles economy counts increasingly in its economic sphere Santa Barbara and San Diego, and for the first time, we highlight those regions in this year's report. On the one hand, this massive geography does provide a world of prospects and choices. On the other hand, it impedes the formation of tight venture capital and entrepreneurial networks. And while there are many opportunities for entrepreneurs and investors to interact, these are so widely dispersed that investors and entrepreneurs have to work harder to find each other. In addition, while the region's economic diversity is a strength that insulates it during times of market volatility, the relative lack of resident core competencies often prevents it from being considered seriously by investors outside the region.

Emerging from a predictably difficult year for the technology economy, Southern California's fundamental sources of innovation are getting some due attention. Chief among these are the many universities, research institutions, and the homegrown defense industry. Potential spin-offs from the defense industry have generated some excitement in recent months. The technologies, knowledge, and talent from that industry can have a significant impact on communications technologies, while new materials and nanoscale techniques are of considerable interest as a new wave of innovation is anticipated by the broader technology industry, and thus by the venture industry itself. Linkages between leading research universities (of which Southern California has a lion's share) and the venture industry are now regarded as a critical component for sustainable innovation by increasing numbers of academics and investors.

What remains unclear is the aftermath of September 11, 2001. Will new demand for defense-related technologies by governments outweigh or complement demand by commercial customers? Will the urge to meet such demand cause a refocusing by traditional government contractors and sub-contractors, causing them to slow or to accelerate efforts to spin-off commercially viable technologies? Will there be a critical mass of innovative companies drawn to new commercial opportunities as the technology economy recovers? The answer is a critical one for the future of Southern California, as individuals with technical skills and experience gained from defense-related industries have fueled much of the region's innovation in recent years. The danger is that the comfort of increased government contracting may be too tempting to resist for technologists who might otherwise have contemplated starting risky, new ventures.

A key challenge noted by a number of venture capitalists again this year is the relative scarcity of executives with significant experience in growing and managing companies. Historically, investors have generally felt that Southern California executive teams overall tended not to have the same level of relevant domain expertise and experience compared to Northern California teams. The Southern California trend line, however, is a positive one: the recent economic cycle served as a real-life boot camp for many technology entrepreneurs, who seem to have emerged the wiser for it. Investors generally concur that seasoned executives are much more willing than before to locate to Southern California from other regions, especially the Bay Area. The "stigma" associated with Southern California may be abating, partly due, perhaps, to the resource limitations (whether real estate, traffic, or otherwise) that became apparent in areas like Northern California in recent years.

Networking events and organizations relevant to the growth and nurturing of an entrepreneurial culture and contact base have grown remarkably since 1994, in various parts of the far-flung region, thus leading to greater clustering of companies and investors. Venture capitalists depend on networks to spot new ideas, evaluate technologies, and find entrepreneurs. In Southern California, the networks formed by angel groups and entrepreneur clubs continue to increase in importance and prominence. By nature, these types of groups rely on networks of individuals to source deals and provide advice to budding entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurial networks are particularly important in Southern California, given its large and distributed nature and the relative lack of centrally organized forums for exchanging high-level ideas. Thus, creating focused opportunities and meeting points for venture capitalists to interact with one another and circulate with entrepreneurs, service providers, and potential executive recruits remains an important activity for the region's venture capital system.

Core competencies have grown considerably well in the broader region since 1994. San Diego, for example, has well-regarded companies and entrepreneurs (in wireless and the biosciences) that have made it a world-class player, with specialized venture capital firms establishing themselves firmly in the area. The West Side has been recognized for digital media for several years, and the Ventura Freeway Corridor is now being recognized for its communications technologies. Still, some core competencies that do exist are not fully recognized in the public eye (such as biomedical devices in Orange County), while other clusters specialize in too many sectors to be recognized in any particular sector (such as Pasadena and the San Gabriel Valley).

Southern California has transformed dramatically over the past decade, moving from a technology economy dominated by Department of Defense spending to one which is increasingly centered on innovation and entrepreneurial-led development. Stronger connections between research institutions and the commercial sector, a growing number of seasoned entrepreneurs, and increased activity of angel and networking groups indicate strong prospects for the future of the venture industry and the broader economy. Despite the nationwide decline in venture activity and despite continued challenges, the region has developed an infrastructure that-more efficiently than before-connects entrepreneurs and startup companies with the capital, experience, and connections of professional investors. Although the economic recession and terrorist attacks of 2001 have resulted in some shifting of resources and focus, this infrastructure remains capable of creating new and innovative companies. The challenge for Southern California is to sustain and maintain its venture capital and entrepreneurial system, now at the beginning of a new economic cycle and with a significantly stronger base than before.

purchase the report >


The Sand Dollar Report 2002: An Analysis of Venture Investing in Southern California
(featuring Data from the MoneyTree survey)

sponsored by

Eight years after the initial Larta report on the venture capital industry of Southern California (1994), the region has undergone a considerable transformation, reflective of the sea change in the regional economy itself. Southern California is one of the most diverse economies in the country, and, not surprisingly, has the most diverse venture capital investments of any comparable region in the country. And while venture investors in the region have been on a recent roller coaster of rapid growth and even more rapid decline, many of them remain optimistic, yet realistic, about the opportunities ahead. This report on the venture capital industry of Southern California features comprehensive new information and data (including regions of San Diego and Santa Barbara), with interviews from leading investors in the region.

Interviewees Include:

Brad Jones, Founding Partner, Redpoint Ventures
Joel Balbien, Managing Member, Smart Technology Ventures
Ted Alexander, General Partner, Mission Ventures
Bridget Karlin, Senior Director, Redleaf Group
Sydney Edwards, Principal, TL Ventures


purchase the report >